Hércules vs UD Alzira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
17.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
GAN
3 - 2
HER
57%
25%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
HER
0 - 0
ELD
65%
22%
14%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1990 |
HER
0 - 1
TOR
69%
19%
13%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
OLI
1 - 0
HER
43%
28%
29%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
HER
2 - 0
MHN
58%
24%
18%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
UD Alzira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
ELD
1 - 0
ALZ
44%
29%
27%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
ALZ
0 - 1
MHN
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1990 |
ALZ
4 - 0
ONT
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
ALC
2 - 2
ALZ
64%
22%
15%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
ALZ
2 - 2
BEN
54%
27%
19%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |