Hércules vs Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
VIL
0 - 6
HER
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1995 |
NOV
0 - 0
HER
19%
26%
55%
|
72 | 39 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
HER
4 - 0
CDT
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
SSC
1 - 2
HER
28%
29%
43%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
HER
1 - 1
AMA
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
ALM
1 - 3
FCB
35%
26%
40%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1995 |
ALM
1 - 4
ATM
25%
26%
50%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
MLL
0 - 1
ALM
74%
17%
10%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
ALM
1 - 0
EIB
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1995 |
ALB
0 - 1
ALM
85%
10%
5%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |