Hércules vs AD Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
FCB
2 - 0
HER
83%
12%
5%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
HER
2 - 2
RAY
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
VCF
0 - 0
HER
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
HER
2 - 1
ATH
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
UDL
2 - 1
HER
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AD Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
ALM
0 - 0
RSO
38%
28%
33%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
SLA
2 - 1
ALM
62%
23%
16%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
ALM
1 - 1
RMA
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
BET
0 - 0
ALM
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
ALM
1 - 0
ZAR
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |