Hércules vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
17.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
TOM
1 - 2
HER
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1992 |
HER
0 - 1
YEC
53%
26%
22%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
HER
2 - 2
VIL
56%
26%
18%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1992 |
OLI
1 - 0
HER
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
HER
6 - 0
ALZ
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
ALC
0 - 0
VIL
57%
24%
18%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1992 |
OLI
3 - 0
ALC
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
ALC
3 - 0
ALZ
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1992 |
TOR
1 - 1
ALC
48%
28%
25%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
ALC
2 - 0
CDR
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |