Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-1
Hércules vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
OLI
2 - 1
HER
30%
30%
40%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
HER
4 - 3
VIL
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
ALC
1 - 1
HER
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
POL
1 - 0
HER
27%
31%
42%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
HER
4 - 1
GRA
61%
24%
16%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
ALB
1 - 3
ALC
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
ALC
0 - 0
AGD
52%
28%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
ALC
1 - 1
HER
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1988 |
SAN
2 - 0
ALC
35%
29%
36%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
ALC
0 - 1
LOR
75%
17%
8%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |