Hércules vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
CAD
3 - 1
HER
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
HER
1 - 1
LEV
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
PUE
3 - 0
HER
49%
25%
25%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
HER
0 - 1
MUR
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
GRA
1 - 0
HER
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
ALC
0 - 0
MLL
34%
28%
38%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
CDT
1 - 0
ALC
68%
20%
13%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
CAD
2 - 0
ALC
70%
19%
12%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
ALC
2 - 1
LEV
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
PUE
1 - 1
ALC
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |