Hércules vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
HER
3 - 3
CAS
77%
14%
9%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
MLL
1 - 2
HER
57%
21%
22%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
HER
3 - 1
GRA
62%
20%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
CDB
0 - 2
HER
46%
23%
31%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1953 |
HER
1 - 1
AVI
73%
15%
12%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
ALC
4 - 2
CDB
84%
10%
6%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
GRA
3 - 0
ALC
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
ALC
5 - 1
MLL
67%
17%
16%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
CAS
4 - 0
ALC
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
ALC
5 - 3
UDL
63%
19%
18%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |