Hércules vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
19.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
GRA
0 - 0
HER
51%
22%
27%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1952 |
HER
3 - 1
ORI
82%
11%
7%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
HER
1 - 1
MUR
61%
20%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
RCD
5 - 1
HER
56%
21%
23%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
HER
5 - 0
VAL
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
ALC
3 - 0
MLL
60%
20%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1952 |
GRA
4 - 0
ALC
43%
23%
34%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
BAL
4 - 1
ALC
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
ALC
1 - 2
RJA
70%
16%
14%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
CAT
1 - 1
ALC
60%
20%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |