Hércules vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
25.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
MLL
3 - 1
HER
37%
23%
39%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
HER
1 - 0
SDC
59%
20%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
HER
3 - 1
RAC
55%
21%
23%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
CUL
2 - 3
HER
50%
21%
29%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
HER
0 - 1
GRA
41%
23%
36%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1945 |
ALC
2 - 2
VCF
29%
22%
49%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
ALC
6 - 1
RAC
60%
19%
22%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
CUL
3 - 0
ALC
53%
22%
25%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
VCF
1 - 0
ALC
87%
9%
5%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
ALC
1 - 0
CEL
45%
21%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |