Hércules vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1943 |
CUL
2 - 1
HER
35%
22%
43%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1943 |
HER
2 - 0
MUR
57%
20%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1943 |
ZAR
3 - 1
HER
55%
20%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
HER
0 - 1
CON
63%
19%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
OSA
1 - 2
HER
45%
22%
33%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1943 |
ALC
6 - 1
BAR
54%
21%
25%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1943 |
SDC
0 - 2
ALC
77%
14%
10%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 1943 |
ALC
0 - 3
SPO
38%
23%
40%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
ARE
1 - 0
ALC
54%
20%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
CUL
1 - 1
ALC
73%
15%
12%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |