Hércules vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
MUR
3 - 0
HER
39%
23%
38%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1942 |
HER
1 - 1
JFC
78%
14%
9%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1942 |
HER
3 - 0
ELC
81%
12%
7%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
MAL
4 - 1
HER
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
HER
2 - 0
CAD
74%
15%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
SDC
3 - 1
ALC
75%
15%
11%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1942 |
ALC
1 - 3
MUR
48%
22%
29%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1942 |
ALC
4 - 0
JFC
51%
21%
27%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
ELC
1 - 0
ALC
50%
21%
29%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
ALC
2 - 0
MAL
47%
22%
31%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +2 |