Segunda B Playoffs Play Off Ascenso Final
Global 4-2
Hércules vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 3
HER
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
HER
2 - 0
AGD
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
AGD
0 - 1
HER
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
HER
1 - 0
FCB
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
ZAR
3 - 0
HER
35%
30%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 3
HER
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
PON
0 - 1
ALC
41%
27%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 1
PON
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
ALC
0 - 0
RAY
21%
26%
54%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
MLL
0 - 1
ALC
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |