Hércules vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
8.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
ORI
1 - 0
HER
22%
30%
48%
|
74 | 31 | 43 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
LIN
2 - 1
HER
32%
30%
38%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
HER
1 - 2
REC
68%
21%
11%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
HER
2 - 0
ORI
83%
12%
5%
|
75 | 32 | 43 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
XER
2 - 0
HER
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
SSC
3 - 2
ALA
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
ALA
2 - 0
CFC
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
CCF
3 - 0
ALA
58%
25%
17%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
ALA
1 - 1
SSC
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
ALA
3 - 0
OVI
56%
26%
18%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |