Hércules vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
15.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
HER
0 - 0
RJA
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
CFC
3 - 1
HER
46%
22%
32%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
HER
1 - 0
UDL
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
HER
2 - 1
LEV
59%
21%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
MAL
3 - 2
HER
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
ALA
3 - 1
PUL
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
PUL
4 - 1
BUR
83%
11%
6%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
CEL
2 - 0
PUL
67%
20%
14%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
PUL
5 - 1
CUL
61%
20%
18%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
BAS
0 - 1
PUL
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |