Hércules vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
XER
4 - 0
HER
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
HER
4 - 2
SFE
72%
16%
12%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
LEV
4 - 1
HER
50%
24%
27%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
HER
4 - 0
CDB
74%
16%
11%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
BET
3 - 0
HER
66%
18%
16%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
CDT
2 - 2
PUL
73%
15%
12%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
SFE
3 - 0
PUL
68%
17%
15%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
PUL
2 - 0
XER
68%
17%
15%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
PUL
4 - 0
LEV
64%
18%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
CDB
5 - 2
PUL
68%
17%
15%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -2 |