Hércules B vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
42.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
PAT
2 - 1
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
HER
0 - 1
VIL
42%
25%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
ROD
1 - 0
HER
62%
21%
18%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
HER
0 - 1
ATZ
40%
26%
35%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
SAG
2 - 2
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 0
ACE
51%
23%
26%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 2
REC
51%
24%
26%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
PAT
2 - 2
NOV
40%
26%
34%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 0
VIL
52%
23%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ROD
2 - 1
NOV
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |