Hércules B vs CD Roda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
37.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
7º
16º
16º
46
2º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 58 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
80% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
55% | |
|
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
30% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
70% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ELC
0 - 0
HER
50%
25%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
HER
0 - 0
JOV
51%
25%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
HER
2 - 1
ACE
39%
27%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SIL
2 - 2
HER
47%
27%
26%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
HER
1 - 1
TCF
34%
27%
39%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Roda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
ROD
1 - 1
VIL
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ATZ
1 - 1
ROD
57%
24%
20%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
GAN
0 - 1
ROD
42%
26%
33%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ROD
3 - 1
PCF
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
ROD
26%
27%
47%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -2 |