Hércules U19 vs Villarreal U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
75.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
2º
12º
12º
7
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
4º
|
7 | 68 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 64 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 61 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 57 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 48 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 47 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 43 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 42 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 40 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 36 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 31 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 30 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 27 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 27 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 25 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 21 |
16º
|
32% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 52.5% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
1% | 44.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
1.5% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
57% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
40.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
UCA
0 - 0
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
MUR
32%
25%
44%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ELC
1 - 1
HER
47%
25%
28%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
PAT
54%
22%
25%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NUC
0 - 1
HER
41%
25%
33%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
9 - 0
UBC
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 0
VIL
13%
18%
69%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 2
LEV
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
RAN
0 - 6
VIL
4%
11%
85%
|
25 | 7 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
5 - 3
PAT
92%
6%
2%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |