Hércules U19 vs Real Murcia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
2º
12º
12º
2
11º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
7 | 68 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 64 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 61 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 57 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 48 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 47 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 43 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 42 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 40 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 36 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
2 | 31 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 30 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 27 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 27 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 25 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 21 |
16º
|
32% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
1% | 0.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
1.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
57% | 51% |
|
Relegation
|
40.5% | 47% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
ELC
1 - 1
HER
47%
25%
28%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
PAT
54%
22%
25%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NUC
0 - 1
HER
41%
25%
33%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HER
1 - 1
TOR
46%
24%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
INT
0 - 2
HER
37%
26%
37%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
VAL
25%
22%
53%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 1
MUR
51%
24%
25%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 2
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
UCA
1 - 1
MUR
33%
25%
42%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MUR
5 - 1
EFB
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | +1 |