Hércules U19 vs Orihuela Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
8º
4º
44
10º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 52 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
54% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
81% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
42 | 42 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
16º
|
38 | 41 |
15º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
40 | 40 |
16º
|
57% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HER
2 - 1
TOR
78%
15%
7%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
HER
44%
24%
32%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
HER
2 - 3
CAS
45%
24%
32%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ALB
0 - 2
HER
45%
25%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
HER
3 - 0
ROD
44%
25%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Orihuela Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ORI
3 - 2
VIL
34%
22%
44%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
ORI
73%
16%
12%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ORI
2 - 2
ALB
38%
23%
39%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ROD
1 - 3
ORI
62%
20%
19%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ORI
1 - 1
LEV
17%
20%
63%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |