Hércules U19 vs FC Cartagena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
2º
12º
12º
13
9º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 68 |
1º
|
72% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 63 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 56 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 55 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 47 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 47 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 47 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 47 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 44 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 40 |
10º
|
31% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 35 |
11º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 28 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 25 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
13 | 24 |
14º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
15º
|
36% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 18 |
16º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
38% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
62% | 80% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
HER
1 - 2
ALB
23%
24%
54%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
3 - 2
HER
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
HER
0 - 2
UCA
25%
25%
50%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 0
HER
71%
18%
12%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ALZ
1 - 1
HER
23%
26%
51%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Cartagena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ALB
1 - 0
CAR
60%
22%
18%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
4 - 0
ACA
28%
24%
48%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
0 - 3
ELC
16%
22%
62%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 1
CAR
71%
16%
12%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
8 - 0
CAR
88%
8%
4%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |