Hércules U19 vs Alboraya U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
53.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
2º
12º
12º
30
3º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 68 |
1º
|
72% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 63 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 56 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 55 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 47 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 47 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 47 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 47 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 44 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 40 |
10º
|
31% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 35 |
11º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 28 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 25 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 24 |
14º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
15º
|
36% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 18 |
16º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 14% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 17% |
|
Mid-table
|
38% | 69% |
|
Relegation
|
62% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 2
HER
46%
26%
29%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
HER
0 - 1
ELC
18%
23%
59%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 0
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HER
0 - 0
VIL
9%
15%
76%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
UCA
0 - 0
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alboraya U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 2
UBC
50%
24%
26%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 1
ALB
46%
23%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 2
ALB
23%
23%
54%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 2
ELC
32%
26%
43%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 2
ALB
28%
23%
49%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |