Hercílio Luz vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
34.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
AVA
3 - 0
HER
80%
15%
5%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
HER
1 - 1
BRU
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
TUB
2 - 2
HER
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
HER
0 - 1
NOV
34%
27%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
CRI
1 - 0
HER
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
MET
0 - 0
JEC
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MET
0 - 0
CHA
8%
17%
75%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
AVA
4 - 0
MET
78%
16%
6%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
MET
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
MET
3 - 0
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |