Hercílio Luz vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
43.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 0
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
HER
2 - 3
ECP
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
CRI
1 - 1
HER
75%
17%
8%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
HER
0 - 2
ECP
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
ECP
0 - 0
HER
32%
24%
43%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
JEC
0 - 0
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 0
ECP
52%
24%
25%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
BRU
27%
26%
48%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ALT
5 - 1
MAR
30%
27%
44%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -2 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
ALT
63%
23%
15%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |