Hercílio Luz vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 0
HER
79%
15%
6%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
BRU
2 - 1
HER
77%
16%
8%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
HER
0 - 0
CAC
31%
23%
45%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
FFL
3 - 0
HER
74%
18%
8%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
HER
2 - 2
MET
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
JEC
0 - 0
BRU
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
JEC
0 - 2
ATL
9%
18%
73%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
FFL
1 - 1
JEC
69%
20%
12%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 0
JEC
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
JEC
0 - 3
CHA
10%
21%
69%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | -1 |