Hercílio Luz vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
60.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
HER
0 - 3
AVA
19%
25%
56%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CFC
1 - 0
HER
14%
21%
65%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
1 - 1
HER
39%
28%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
HER
0 - 1
SCA
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 0
HER
24%
27%
50%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
CRI
1 - 1
SCA
92%
7%
1%
|
85 | 45 | 40 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 0
CRI
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
CRI
3 - 0
JEC
78%
16%
6%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CRI
1 - 1
BAR
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
FFL
2 - 3
CRI
15%
26%
59%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |