Hercílio Luz vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
64.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 2
HER
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
HER
1 - 1
FFL
9%
18%
73%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
HER
2 - 3
CHA
8%
18%
75%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 1
HER
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
MET
3 - 1
HER
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
CRI
1 - 0
JEC
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MET
0 - 1
CRI
17%
22%
61%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
3 - 2
CRI
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CRI
0 - 2
AVA
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
BRU
0 - 0
CRI
18%
22%
61%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |