Hercílio Luz vs CA Tubarão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CAC
0 - 0
HER
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
HER
1 - 3
CAC
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
HER
3 - 1
CAM
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 2
HER
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
4 - 0
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CHA
3 - 2
TUB
82%
14%
4%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LIT
2 - 1
TUB
31%
24%
45%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
TUB
0 - 0
FFL
20%
24%
57%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CRI
1 - 0
TUB
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
JEC
4 - 3
TUB
55%
26%
18%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |