Hercílio Luz vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
65.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
ECP
0 - 1
HER
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
HER
1 - 0
JUV
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 0
HER
77%
17%
6%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
HER
0 - 0
CHA
9%
19%
72%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
HER
4 - 3
JEC
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 0
CAM
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CAC
0 - 0
BRU
12%
20%
67%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2022 |
FFL
0 - 0
BRU
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
GOI
2 - 2
BRU
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
BRU
2 - 0
OPE
41%
29%
30%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |