Les Herbiers vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
64.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Les Herbiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
LES
3 - 1
FCL
26%
27%
47%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
RED
2 - 2
LES
43%
28%
29%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
COL
0 - 0
LES
57%
24%
19%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
LES
2 - 1
YZE
31%
26%
43%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
LEM
4 - 1
LES
57%
24%
19%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
TFC
1 - 2
GIR
20%
26%
54%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
AUX
1 - 1
TFC
43%
28%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
BRU
1 - 0
TFC
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
TFC
0 - 1
MPL
52%
26%
23%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2009 |
TFC
2 - 0
SOC
46%
28%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |