Les Herbiers vs Saumur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
9º
6º
34
8º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Les Herbiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
STA
1 - 2
LES
48%
24%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
LES
4 - 1
BER
43%
26%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
GOB
0 - 0
LES
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
LES
2 - 1
AVR
27%
23%
50%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
LRO
0 - 1
LES
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SAU
0 - 2
BOU
43%
25%
33%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BER
1 - 0
SAU
63%
22%
15%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 1
SAU
10%
18%
72%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SAU
0 - 1
TRE
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GOB
3 - 1
SAU
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |