Les Herbiers vs La Roche VF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
5º
14º
6º
4
9º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
15º
|
2 | 66 |
1º
|
79.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 53 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 50 |
3º
|
8% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 49 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 49 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 47 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 47 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 38 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 38 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 37 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
4 | 37 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 36 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 34 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 31 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 27 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 21 |
16º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 71.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 17.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Les Herbiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
STA
0 - 3
LES
52%
25%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
LES
0 - 2
SAI
39%
26%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STP
1 - 0
LES
31%
27%
42%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
LES
0 - 0
BLO
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
AVR
1 - 1
LES
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
La Roche VF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VOL
0 - 1
LRO
48%
28%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
LRO
1 - 3
STA
27%
26%
46%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 0
LRO
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LRO
1 - 1
STP
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BLO
2 - 1
LRO
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |