Les Herbiers vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
59.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Les Herbiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
LES
0 - 0
USB
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
ROD
0 - 0
LES
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
LES
2 - 1
SAN
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
AUX
0 - 3
LES
59%
22%
18%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
CON
2 - 2
LES
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
LEN
0 - 1
CLE
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
QUE
1 - 2
LEN
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
LEN
1 - 1
VAL
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
LEN
1 - 0
TRO
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
LOR
1 - 1
LEN
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |