Les Herbiers vs Bourges Foot 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
9º
2º
41
5º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
63% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 42 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
81.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
91.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
86.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
22% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
78% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Les Herbiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
AND
0 - 2
LES
51%
25%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MSC
1 - 6
LES
8%
14%
78%
|
45 | 7 | 38 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
LES
1 - 1
LOR
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
LES
1 - 0
ANG
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ANG
3 - 2
LES
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bourges Foot 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BOU
2 - 1
VIE
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BOU
0 - 0
APO
74%
16%
11%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
YZE
2 - 1
BOU
35%
27%
38%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 0
BOU
24%
26%
51%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 1
SAU
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |