Les Herbiers vs Blois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
5º
14º
6º
12
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
15º
|
3 | 65 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 56 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 50 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
12 | 48 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 47 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 45 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 44 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 41 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 39 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 38 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 37 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 37 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 35 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 31 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 28 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 20 |
16º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 94% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Les Herbiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
AVR
1 - 1
LES
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LES
2 - 2
NIO
22%
22%
56%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AVO
0 - 4
LES
16%
23%
61%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LES
2 - 2
FCL
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
SAU
2 - 2
LES
28%
26%
47%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Blois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BLO
2 - 1
LRO
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
GOB
2 - 0
BLO
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BLO
0 - 2
BER
32%
26%
41%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GOB
3 - 0
BLO
55%
23%
21%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BLO
2 - 0
ROM
59%
21%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |