Les Herbiers vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Les Herbiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
LAV
2 - 2
LES
46%
28%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LES
1 - 1
PON
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SAU
0 - 1
LES
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FON
1 - 2
LES
34%
28%
38%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LES
2 - 4
ROM
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
AVR
3 - 1
FON
54%
25%
22%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ROM
4 - 3
AVR
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
AVR
2 - 0
MAN
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 1
AVR
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
AVR
1 - 0
PAC
25%
27%
47%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |