Les Herbiers vs Avoine OCC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
9º
6º
26
6º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Les Herbiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
LES
3 - 2
LOR
52%
24%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
LES
0 - 2
NAN
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
LES
2 - 0
ANG
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
LES
0 - 1
LMU
23%
23%
54%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
YZE
1 - 4
LES
17%
24%
59%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Avoine OCC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CSL
0 - 1
AVO
31%
25%
44%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 2
AVO
20%
22%
58%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
AVO
2 - 1
BOU
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
AVO
3 - 0
CHA
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
AVO
1 - 0
CHA
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |