Heracles vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
HER
2 - 0
ADO
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2000 |
EXC
1 - 2
HER
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
HER
3 - 1
BVV
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
ZWO
1 - 0
HER
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
HER
0 - 0
EIN
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2000 |
VVV
2 - 1
NAC
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2000 |
TEL
5 - 0
VVV
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
FCO
2 - 4
VVV
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
FCD
4 - 2
VVV
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
VVV
1 - 1
ADO
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |