Heracles vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1999 |
GRO
2 - 1
HER
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
HER
1 - 0
FCD
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
ZWO
0 - 1
HER
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
HER
2 - 1
EIN
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
BOS
1 - 2
HER
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
VVV
3 - 3
TEL
79%
15%
7%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
VVV
0 - 1
HEL
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
GRO
4 - 0
VVV
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
VVV
1 - 2
FCD
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
ZWO
1 - 2
VVV
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |