Heracles vs VV Dos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
TEL
0 - 2
HER
53%
24%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
HER
0 - 3
PSV
28%
21%
51%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
MVV
2 - 2
HER
54%
24%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
HER
1 - 1
AJA
29%
21%
50%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
ELI
1 - 0
HER
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
VV Dos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
VVD
3 - 0
TWE
40%
22%
38%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
GAE
1 - 1
VVD
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
VVD
0 - 2
WIL
54%
22%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1965 |
FCB
7 - 1
VVD
88%
8%
4%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
TEL
1 - 0
VVD
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |