Heracles vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1966 |
PSV
5 - 1
HER
73%
17%
11%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
HER
1 - 0
MVV
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
AJA
1 - 0
HER
79%
14%
8%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
HER
2 - 2
ELI
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
FEY
5 - 2
HER
80%
13%
7%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1966 |
TEL
0 - 1
GAE
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
VVD
2 - 0
TEL
58%
22%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
PSV
3 - 1
TEL
77%
14%
10%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
TEL
3 - 1
MVV
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
AJA
6 - 2
TEL
84%
10%
6%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |