Heracles vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
37.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
9º
16º
13º
20
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 75 |
1º
|
48.5% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 74 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 66 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 63 |
4º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 61 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 59 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 42 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 41 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 41 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 40 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 36 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
70% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 19 |
18º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
8.5% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 60.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10.5% | 27.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 8.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
RTV
1 - 0
HER
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
HER
1 - 0
NEC
33%
24%
44%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
FEY
5 - 2
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
FOR
44%
26%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
AZA
1 - 0
HER
73%
17%
11%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 2
AJA
22%
22%
57%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
GAE
43%
25%
33%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 1
SPA
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 2
NAC
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ZWO
1 - 0
SPA
34%
25%
40%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |