Heracles vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
MVV
1 - 0
HER
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
DWS
5 - 0
HER
72%
16%
13%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
HER
1 - 1
ADO
61%
20%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
GAE
2 - 2
HER
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
HER
1 - 2
ENS
48%
21%
31%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
SPA
1 - 0
NAC
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
VVD
0 - 4
SPA
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
SPA
5 - 1
MVV
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
DWS
7 - 1
SPA
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
SPA
1 - 0
ADO
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |