Heracles vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
34.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
MVV
1 - 1
HER
55%
22%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
HER
3 - 1
GRO
55%
22%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1963 |
NAC
1 - 1
HER
58%
21%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
HER
1 - 2
ADO
55%
21%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
VOL
2 - 2
HER
56%
21%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
SPA
2 - 0
FOR
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
PSV
0 - 1
SPA
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1963 |
SPA
2 - 1
WIL
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
VVD
2 - 0
SPA
60%
20%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
SPA
4 - 0
DVO
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |