Heracles vs Sittardia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
HER
1 - 0
VVD
50%
23%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
HER
1 - 1
SPA
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
MVV
1 - 0
HER
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
DWS
5 - 0
HER
72%
16%
13%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
HER
1 - 1
ADO
61%
20%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sittardia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
DWS
2 - 0
SIT
84%
10%
6%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
SIT
1 - 1
NAC
33%
24%
44%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
SPA
1 - 0
SIT
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
ADO
1 - 0
SIT
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
SIT
0 - 1
GAE
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |