Heracles vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 2
HER
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
PSV
4 - 0
HER
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
HER
2 - 0
SPA
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
HER
6 - 3
SCH
34%
24%
42%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
HER
3 - 3
AJA
16%
21%
64%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FEY
5 - 2
RJC
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
RJC
0 - 0
ADO
48%
25%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
NEC
0 - 0
RJC
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
RJC
1 - 1
TWE
19%
22%
59%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
RJC
3 - 0
VVV
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |