Heracles vs RKC Waalwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
37%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
HER
1 - 1
SPA
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
VVV
1 - 0
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
HER
0 - 3
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 1
HER
52%
23%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
HER
0 - 1
FEY
25%
25%
51%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
RKC Waalwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
VIT
3 - 1
RKC
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
SPA
1 - 0
RKC
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
RKC
0 - 2
ADO
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
TWE
2 - 1
RKC
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
RKC
0 - 6
AZA
25%
24%
51%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |