Heracles vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
60.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
9º
16º
15º
15
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
15 | 72 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 66 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 65 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 63 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 59 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 59 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 51 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 48 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 46 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 41 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 40 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 38 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 36 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
3 | 34 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 31 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 26 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 25 |
18º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 51% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 18.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 15% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 7% |
|
Next round
|
4% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
64.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
17.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 0
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 0
HER
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
EXC
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
PRE
0 - 0
HER
39%
23%
38%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HER
1 - 1
DEN
53%
23%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PSV
5 - 1
RKC
75%
16%
10%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PSV
4 - 4
FEY
42%
23%
35%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PSV
2 - 1
VCF
56%
22%
22%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
PSV
3 - 2
EIN
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
PSV
1 - 2
PAD
68%
18%
14%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |