Heracles vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
57.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
HER
3 - 0
RKC
51%
23%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
HER
3 - 0
EXC
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GRO
2 - 1
HER
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
MON
3 - 2
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
HER
4 - 0
GRA
66%
20%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
PSV
3 - 2
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
PSV
3 - 1
VIT
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
UTR
1 - 1
PSV
22%
24%
55%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
PSV
0 - 0
KAI
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 52 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
MUR
4 - 1
PSV
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |