Heracles vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
62.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1985 |
AZA
2 - 0
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1985 |
HER
0 - 2
MVV
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
EXC
3 - 0
HER
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
HER
0 - 0
SPA
43%
25%
31%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
TWE
0 - 3
HER
62%
22%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1985 |
PSV
3 - 0
VVV
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
PSV
2 - 2
DNI
86%
9%
4%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
GRO
1 - 6
PSV
25%
24%
51%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
NEC
2 - 5
PSV
12%
23%
65%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
PSV
4 - 0
AVE
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 50 | 38 | 0 |